Climate Risk Profile: Buckenbowra, NSW

Buckenbowra, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Buckenbowra faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, which are expected to increase with climate change. Heatwaves are also a growing concern. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Is Buckenbowra Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Buckenbowra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Buckenbowra

Flood

Buckenbowra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Buckenbowra has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Buckenbowra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Buckenbowra is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Buckenbowra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Buckenbowra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Buckenbowra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Buckenbowra is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Buckenbowra has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Immediate

Implement controlled burns and create firebreaks to reduce fuel load.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide public education on heatwave safety.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Sustainable Land Use Planning

Long-term

Implement stricter building codes in high-risk areas and promote sustainable development practices.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Conduct workshops and distribute information on climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Buckenbowra's Climate Risk Profile

Buckenbowra, located in New South Wales, is an inland suburb that faces a combination of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfire risks, both of which are projected to intensify due to climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flood events. Residents should be aware of local flood risks and preparedness measures.

Bushfire risk is also high, given the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to properties and lives. It is crucial for residents to maintain their properties and adhere to bushfire safety guidelines.

Heatwaves are another growing concern, with projections indicating more frequent and intense heat events. This can pose health risks, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Residents should take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Buckenbowra's inland location, the suburb is not immune to the broader impacts of climate change. Addressing these challenges requires a combination of individual preparedness, community resilience, and government action to mitigate climate change and adapt to its impacts.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Buckenbowra?

The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can elevate your home, install flood barriers, and ensure proper drainage. Check your local council's flood maps for more information.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow the advice of emergency services. If you are in a high-risk area, evacuate early. Have a bushfire survival plan in place.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Buckenbowra?

Consult the CSIRO climate projections, the Bureau of Meteorology, and your local council's climate strategy.

Is Buckenbowra a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

While Buckenbowra has many positive attributes, potential buyers should carefully consider the increasing risks from flooding and bushfires. Assess the specific property's vulnerability and factor in potential insurance costs and long-term climate impacts.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Buckenbowra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Buckenbowra's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Buckenbowra, NSW | ClimateNest