Climate Risk in Brushy Creek, New South Wales

Brushy Creek, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Brushy Creek faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Is Brushy Creek Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Brushy Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Brushy Creek

Flood

Brushy Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Brushy Creek is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Brushy Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Brushy Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. The risk from sea level rise and coastal erosion is minimal.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Brushy Creek

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Brushy Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Brushy Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Brushy Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. The risk from sea level rise and coastal erosion is minimal.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Brushy Creek is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and fire breaks, to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Immediate

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Brushy Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Brushy Creek, NSW, is a suburb that will likely experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary risks include flooding due to increased rainfall intensity, bushfires exacerbated by drier conditions and higher temperatures, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

The risk of flooding is a significant concern, particularly for properties located near waterways or in low-lying areas. Climate change projections indicate an increase in extreme rainfall events, which could overwhelm existing drainage infrastructure and lead to more frequent and severe flooding.

Bushfire risk is also expected to rise as temperatures increase and vegetation dries out. The surrounding bushland poses a threat to properties, especially during periods of prolonged drought and high winds. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Urban areas tend to experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect, which can exacerbate the impact of heatwaves.

While Brushy Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could still affect the suburb.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Brushy Creek?

Brushy Creek faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Brushy Creek?

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks, such as flooding and bushfires. Insurance premiums may also increase.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and elevating valuable items.

How can I prepare for a bushfire?

Maintain your property to reduce fuel loads, develop a bushfire survival plan, and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Brushy Creek, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Brushy Creek's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Brushy Creek, NSW | ClimateNest