Climate Risk Profile: Broughton Vale, NSW

Broughton Vale, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Broughton Vale faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb's proximity to waterways and bushland also contributes to flood and bushfire risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Broughton Vale Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Broughton Vale, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Broughton Vale

Flood

Broughton Vale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in Broughton Vale is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Broughton Vale is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risk is low in Broughton Vale due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Broughton Vale

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Broughton Vale is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Broughton Vale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is low in Broughton Vale due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in Broughton Vale is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and ember attack potential.
  • 3.Ensure adequate home insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to mitigate heat impacts.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Conduct community education programs on bushfire safety and evacuation procedures. Maintain fire breaks around properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Broughton Vale's Climate Risk Profile

Broughton Vale, NSW, is a suburb that will likely experience the effects of climate change in the coming decades. The primary risks are associated with increased flooding, more intense heatwaves, and a heightened bushfire threat.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's location near waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are also projected to become more common and intense, posing a health risk, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. It is important to have strategies in place to cope with extreme heat.

While Broughton Vale is not directly on the coast, the inland bushland areas surrounding the suburb are susceptible to bushfires. Drier conditions and higher temperatures will increase the risk of bushfires, making it essential for residents to be prepared and have evacuation plans in place.

Overall, Broughton Vale needs to adapt to these changing climate conditions to protect its residents and infrastructure. This includes investing in flood mitigation measures, implementing heatwave management plans, and improving bushfire preparedness.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Broughton Vale?

The main climate change risks for Broughton Vale are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a heightened bushfire threat.

How will climate change affect property values in Broughton Vale?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Broughton Vale?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in Broughton Vale?

Maintain fire breaks around your property, clear gutters of dry leaves, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Stay informed about bushfire alerts and warnings.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Broughton Vale?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Wingecarribee Shire Council website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Broughton Vale, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Broughton Vale's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections