Climate Risk Profile: Braemar Bay, NSW
Braemar Bay faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.
Is Braemar Bay Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Braemar Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Braemar Bay
Flood
Braemar Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Braemar Bay has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Braemar Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Braemar Bay has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Braemar Bay
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Braemar Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Braemar Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Braemar Bay has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
bushfire Risk
Braemar Bay has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess property resilience to extreme weather.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems and implement flood barriers to protect properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateClear vegetation around properties and develop a bushfire survival plan.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Management
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreWater Conservation
Long-termImplement water-saving measures to reduce water stress during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Braemar Bay's Climate Risk Profile
Braemar Bay is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.
Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential sea level rise. The suburb may experience more frequent and severe flood events, impacting property and infrastructure. Bushfire risk is also increasing due to drier conditions and higher temperatures, making the area more susceptible to wildfires.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect may further amplify these risks. Coastal risks are relatively low, but long-term sea level rise could still pose a threat.
Adapting to these changes will require a combination of individual actions and community-level initiatives. Residents should take steps to protect their homes and prepare for extreme weather events. Local authorities need to implement strategies to mitigate climate risks and enhance community resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Local Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Braemar Bay?
The main risks are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How can I prepare my home for a flood?
Elevate appliances, clear gutters, and have sandbags ready.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
Clear vegetation around your property, maintain your roof and gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about local climate change initiatives?
Visit the local council website or attend community meetings.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Braemar Bay, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections