Climate Risk in Booragul, New South Wales

Booragul, New South Wales· Lake Macquarie· 2284
Updated May 2026

Booragul faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Is Booragul Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Booragul, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Booragul

Flood

Booragul faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Macquarie and local waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Booragul has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and urban development. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Booragul is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Booragul faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its location on Lake Macquarie. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Booragul

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Booragul is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Booragul faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Macquarie and local waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Booragul faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its location on Lake Macquarie. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Booragul has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and urban development. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Extreme weather events
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect low-lying areas from flooding, such as levees, drainage improvements, and stormwater management systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and early warning systems.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement measures to protect waterfront properties from erosion and inundation, such as seawalls, beach nourishment, and dune restoration.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Maintain vegetation around properties, create firebreaks, and develop community evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving practices to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Booragul's Climate Risk Profile

Booragul, located on the shores of Lake Macquarie, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The suburb's low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to flooding from increased rainfall and rising lake levels. Climate change projections indicate that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Booragul. As global temperatures rise, the suburb is expected to experience more days of extreme heat, posing health risks to vulnerable residents. The urban environment can exacerbate the heat island effect, making the suburb even hotter than surrounding areas.

Coastal hazards, such as erosion and inundation, are also relevant due to Booragul's proximity to Lake Macquarie. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could threaten waterfront properties and infrastructure.

While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other areas, it's still important to be aware of the potential for bushfires, especially during dry periods. Surrounding bushland areas could pose a threat under extreme conditions.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies. Residents, businesses, and local government need to work together to build a more resilient community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Booragul?

The main climate change risks for Booragul include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as erosion and inundation.

How will climate change affect property values in Booragul?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline due to increased insurance costs and potential damage from climate-related events.

What is Lake Macquarie City Council doing to address climate change?

Lake Macquarie City Council has developed a climate strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a flood in Booragul?

You can prepare your home for a flood by raising electrical appliances, storing valuables above flood level, and having an emergency plan in place.

Where can I find information about bushfire risk in Booragul?

You can find information about bushfire risk on the NSW Rural Fire Service website or by contacting your local fire brigade.

What should I do during a heatwave in Booragul?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Booragul, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Booragul, NSW | ClimateNest