Climate Risk in Bonny Hills, NSW
Bonny Hills is a coastal suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from climate change. The primary hazards are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to worsen in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks.
Is Bonny Hills Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Bonny Hills, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bonny Hills
Flood
Bonny Hills faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bonny Hills has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Decreased rainfall
Heat
Bonny Hills is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Bonny Hills faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including erosion and inundation, due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bonny Hills
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Bonny Hills is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Bonny Hills faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Bonny Hills faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including erosion and inundation, due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Bonny Hills has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Decreased rainfall
- ·Dry vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion and sea level rise.
- 3.Consider the potential for increased insurance premiums.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate change adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
Near-termConduct hazard reduction burns and maintain fire breaks to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreProtect coastal areas from erosion
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreRaise awareness about climate risks
ImmediateEducate residents about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for them.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Bonny Hills's Climate Risk Profile
Bonny Hills, located on the Mid North Coast of New South Wales, is a beautiful coastal community. However, like many coastal areas, it is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.
The suburb faces a number of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Flooding is a concern due to the proximity of waterways and low-lying areas. Bushfires are a risk due to the surrounding bushland. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations. Coastal erosion is a concern due to sea level rise and increased storm intensity.
Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Rainfall intensity is projected to increase, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Sea levels are rising, increasing the risk of coastal erosion and inundation.
Residents of Bonny Hills should take steps to prepare for these risks. This includes developing a household emergency plan, preparing an emergency kit, and staying informed about weather conditions and emergency warnings. It is also important to consider the potential impacts of climate change when making decisions about property and investments.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Port Macquarie-Hastings Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Bonny Hills?
The main climate change risks in Bonny Hills are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to worsen in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare for flooding in Bonny Hills?
You can prepare for flooding by developing a household emergency plan, preparing an emergency kit, and staying informed about weather conditions and emergency warnings. It is also important to know the flood risk in your area and take steps to protect your property.
What should I do during a heatwave in Bonny Hills?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay cool, stay hydrated, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends. If you experience symptoms of heatstroke, seek medical attention immediately.
How is the council addressing climate change in Bonny Hills?
The Port Macquarie-Hastings Council is developing and implementing strategies to address climate change, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, adapting to the impacts of climate change, and promoting sustainable development.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Bonny Hills?
You can find more information about climate change in Bonny Hills on the Port Macquarie-Hastings Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.
Is my property in Bonny Hills at risk from sea level rise?
Properties in low-lying coastal areas of Bonny Hills are at risk from sea level rise. Check with the Port Macquarie-Hastings Council to determine the specific risk to your property.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bonny Hills, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections