Climate Risk Profile: Blackwall, NSW
Blackwall is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Blackwall Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Blackwall, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Blackwall
Flood
Blackwall faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Brisbane Water and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Blackwall has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and limited surrounding bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Blackwall is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Blackwall is exposed to coastal risks, including sea level rise and storm surges. These factors could lead to increased erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Blackwall
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Blackwall is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Blackwall faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Brisbane Water and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
coastal Risk
Blackwall is exposed to coastal risks, including sea level rise and storm surges. These factors could lead to increased erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Blackwall has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and limited surrounding bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values in vulnerable areas may be affected.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
- 4.Evaluate the energy efficiency of the property.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect Coastal Areas
Long-termImplement measures to protect against coastal erosion, such as beach nourishment and dune restoration.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Near-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Blackwall's Climate Risk Profile
Blackwall, NSW, is situated in a region that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this suburb include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events are projected to increase the frequency and severity of flooding, potentially impacting homes and infrastructure.
Heatwaves are also expected to become more common and intense, posing a significant risk to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect may further amplify these impacts in densely built areas. Residents should take steps to prepare for extreme heat events, such as ensuring access to cooling and staying hydrated.
Coastal erosion is another concern for Blackwall, as rising sea levels and storm surges threaten to erode shorelines and damage coastal properties. Protecting and restoring natural coastal defenses, such as mangroves and dunes, can help mitigate these risks.
Overall, Blackwall faces a range of climate-related challenges that require proactive adaptation measures. By understanding the risks and taking steps to prepare, residents can help protect themselves and their community from the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Blackwall?
Blackwall faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Blackwall?
Property values in vulnerable areas may be affected by increased climate risks.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Blackwall?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Blackwall?
You can find flood maps and information on the Central Coast Council website.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Blackwall?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Blackwall, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections