Climate Risk Assessment for Black Range, NSW
Black Range faces moderate risks from flooding and high risks from bushfires and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.
Is Black Range Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Black Range, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Black Range
Flood
Flooding may occur in Black Range due to heavy rainfall events and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to services.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
Black Range faces a significant bushfire risk due to its location near bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Fuel load
Heat
Black Range is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.
Key drivers:
- ·Global warming
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As Black Range is not located near the coast, the risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion is very low.
Key drivers:
- ·N/A
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Black Range
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Black Range is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.
Primary Drivers
- ·Global warming
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Flooding may occur in Black Range due to heavy rainfall events and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to services.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
As Black Range is not located near the coast, the risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion is very low.
Primary Drivers
- ·N/A
bushfire Risk
Black Range faces a significant bushfire risk due to its location near bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Fuel load
- ·Arson
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider heatwave resilience
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement measures to reduce fuel loads around properties, develop evacuation plans, and stay informed about bushfire risks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Heatwave Resilience
Near-termImplement strategies to reduce the urban heat island effect, provide cooling centers for vulnerable populations, and promote heat safety awareness.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in improved drainage infrastructure, implement flood-resistant building codes, and develop flood early warning systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termDevelop and implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Black Range's Climate Risk Profile
Black Range, NSW, is an area that faces a number of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are bushfire risk and increasing heatwaves, with moderate flood risk also present.
The bushfire risk is driven by the suburb's proximity to bushland and the increasing frequency of hot, dry conditions. Climate change is expected to further exacerbate this risk, with longer and more intense bushfire seasons.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with the potential to impact vulnerable populations and increase energy demand. The urban heat island effect may also contribute to higher temperatures in some areas.
Flooding is a moderate risk, with potential for property damage and disruption to services during heavy rainfall events. It is important to maintain drainage infrastructure and avoid building in flood-prone areas.
While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the overall climate risk profile suggests a need for proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Black Range?
The main climate change risks for Black Range are increased bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate increase in flood risk.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
You can find information about local flood risks on the NSW Government and local council websites.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The local council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to reduce the risks to the community.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Black Range, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections