Climate Risk Profile: Bexley, NSW
Bexley faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment increases its vulnerability to heat, while its proximity to waterways elevates flood risk. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Bexley Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Bexley, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bexley
Flood
Bexley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Bexley is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to green spaces
- ·Wind patterns
Heat
Bexley experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of high temperatures on vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risk in Bexley is low due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and storm surges pose minimal direct threat.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
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Energy
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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bexley
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Bexley experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of high temperatures on vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Bexley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Coastal risk in Bexley is low due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and storm surges pose minimal direct threat.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge intensity
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Bexley is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to green spaces
- ·Wind patterns
- ·Fuel load in surrounding areas
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure
ImmediateInvest in upgrading and expanding stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Mitigation Strategies
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect. Promote cool roofs and other heat-reducing building materials.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Community Emergency Plans
ImmediateCreate and disseminate emergency plans for heatwaves and floods, including evacuation routes and shelter locations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRaise Community Awareness
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, online resources, and community events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to require climate-resilient design and construction, including flood-proofing and heat-resistant materials.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Bexley's Climate Risk Profile
Bexley, located in the Bayside area of Sydney, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The most significant threat comes from flooding, as the suburb contains low-lying areas and is near several waterways. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, potentially overwhelming existing drainage infrastructure.
Heatwaves also pose a considerable risk to Bexley residents. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, traps heat and raises temperatures, particularly during summer. This can lead to heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses.
While bushfire risk is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature, ember attack from distant fires remains a concern. Coastal risks are minimal due to Bexley's distance from the immediate coastline, but sea level rise could indirectly affect the area through changes in drainage patterns.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, implementing heat mitigation strategies, and raising community awareness about emergency preparedness. Long-term planning should also consider the potential impacts of climate change on property values and insurance costs.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Bayside Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Bexley?
The main climate change risks in Bexley are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves exacerbated by the urban heat island effect. Bushfire risk is relatively low, but ember attack remains a concern.
How will climate change affect property values in Bexley?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Increased insurance premiums due to climate risks could also affect property values.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Bexley?
Bayside Council is implementing various initiatives to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, planting trees to reduce the urban heat island effect, and developing community emergency plans.
How can I prepare my home for heatwaves in Bexley?
You can prepare your home for heatwaves by installing insulation, using light-colored roofing materials, planting trees for shade, and ensuring you have access to air conditioning or cooling centers.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Bexley?
You can find information about flood risks in Bexley on the Bayside Council website, including flood maps and historical flood data. The NSW State Emergency Service also provides valuable resources.
Is Bexley in a bushfire prone area?
While Bexley itself is not designated as a bushfire prone area, it is located near bushland, so residents should be aware of the risk of ember attack during bushfire season.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections