Climate Risk Profile: Bexley North, NSW

Bexley North, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Bexley North faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment and distance from the coast mitigate bushfire and coastal risks.

Is Bexley North Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Bexley North, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bexley North

Flood

Bexley North faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Bexley North is relatively low due to the urban nature of the suburb and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Bexley North experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Bexley North has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline and elevation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bexley North

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Bexley North experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Bexley North faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Aging drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Bexley North has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline and elevation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Bexley North is relatively low due to the urban nature of the suburb and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Increased premiums possible due to flood risk

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impact in flood-prone areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data
  • 2.Assess property's elevation and drainage
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Increase green spaces and tree canopy

Near-term

Increase the amount of green space and tree canopy cover in Bexley North to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Retrofit homes for energy efficiency

Long-term

Encourage and incentivize residents to retrofit their homes for energy efficiency to reduce energy consumption and lower greenhouse gas emissions.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community education programs

Near-term

Run community education programs to raise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bexley North's Climate Risk Profile

Bexley North, like many suburbs in the Sydney metropolitan area, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are related to increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The risk of flooding is exacerbated by the suburb's proximity to local waterways and existing stormwater infrastructure that may not be adequate to handle increased rainfall intensity. Climate change projections indicate that these rainfall events will become more frequent and severe, increasing the likelihood of property damage and disruption to daily life.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, can further amplify temperatures in Bexley North, making heatwaves more dangerous.

While the risk of bushfires is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature, it is important to remain vigilant and prepared, especially during dry periods. Ember attacks from distant fires can still pose a threat. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Bexley North?

The main climate change risks in Bexley North are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Bexley North?

Climate change may have a moderate impact on property values in Bexley North, particularly in flood-prone areas. Properties in areas at higher risk of flooding may experience a decrease in value.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Bexley North?

Bayside Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, including upgrading stormwater infrastructure, increasing green spaces, and promoting energy efficiency.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves in Bexley North?

You can prepare your home for heatwaves by installing insulation, using window coverings to block out sunlight, and ensuring that your air conditioner is working properly. It's also important to stay hydrated and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Bexley North?

You can find information about flood risks in Bexley North on the Bayside Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Are there any community groups working on climate change in Bexley North?

Yes, there are several community groups in the Bayside area that are working on climate change issues. Contact Bayside Council for more information.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bexley North, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections