Climate Risk Profile: Baryulgil, NSW

Baryulgil, New South Wales· Clarence Valley
Updated May 2026

Baryulgil faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Baryulgil Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Baryulgil, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Baryulgil

Flood

Baryulgil faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and surrounding waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Baryulgil is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Baryulgil experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Baryulgil is not directly exposed to coastal risks, as it is located inland. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Baryulgil

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Baryulgil experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Baryulgil faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and surrounding waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Baryulgil is not directly exposed to coastal risks, as it is located inland. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Baryulgil is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
  • 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for flood and bushfire risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Baryulgil's Climate Risk Profile

Baryulgil, located in the Clarence Valley of New South Wales, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to its geographical location and environmental characteristics. The primary risks include flooding from the Clarence River and its tributaries, as well as bushfires due to the surrounding bushland.

Climate projections indicate that the region will experience higher average temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and altered rainfall patterns. These changes are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of both flood and bushfire events. The community needs to be proactive in implementing adaptation measures to mitigate these risks.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more severe riverine flooding. Bushfire risk is also elevated due to drier conditions and higher temperatures, which can create a more conducive environment for fires to start and spread rapidly.

While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the broader regional impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to agriculture and water resources, could indirectly affect Baryulgil. It is essential for residents and local authorities to work together to develop and implement strategies to enhance resilience and adapt to the changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Baryulgil?

The main climate change risks for Baryulgil are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare for flooding in Baryulgil?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. It's also important to stay informed about weather forecasts and warnings.

What should I do to protect my property from bushfires?

To protect your property from bushfires, maintain your property by clearing vegetation, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring you have adequate insurance coverage.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the Clarence Valley?

You can find more information about climate change in the Clarence Valley on the Clarence Valley Council website and the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Clarence Valley Council is developing and implementing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving energy efficiency, promoting renewable energy, and enhancing community resilience.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Baryulgil, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Baryulgil, NSW | ClimateNest