Climate Risk in Barrington Tops, NSW

Barrington Tops, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Barrington Tops faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Barrington Tops Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Barrington Tops, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Barrington Tops

Flood

Barrington Tops faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in a high-rainfall area and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow

Bushfire

Barrington Tops has a high risk of bushfires due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire weather, exacerbating the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Barrington Tops is experiencing increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. Climate change is expected to further increase the number of extreme heat days, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Barrington Tops is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location. However, changes in weather patterns could indirectly affect the region.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Barrington Tops

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Barrington Tops is experiencing increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. Climate change is expected to further increase the number of extreme heat days, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Barrington Tops faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in a high-rainfall area and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow
  • ·Deforestation
Data source

coastal Risk

Barrington Tops is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location. However, changes in weather patterns could indirectly affect the region.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Barrington Tops has a high risk of bushfires due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire weather, exacerbating the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Obtain comprehensive insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement regular fuel reduction programs, create firebreaks, and educate residents on bushfire safety measures.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Flood Resilience

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure, implement flood-proofing measures for homes and businesses, and develop early warning systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-efficient practices in homes and agriculture to reduce water stress during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plans

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide heatwave alerts, and educate vulnerable populations on how to stay safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Barrington Tops's Climate Risk Profile

Barrington Tops, located in New South Wales, is an area of natural beauty but also faces increasing climate-related challenges. The primary risks are bushfires, driven by hotter and drier conditions, and flooding, due to more intense rainfall events.

The region's vulnerability to bushfires is heightened by the extensive surrounding bushland. Rising temperatures and prolonged dry periods create ideal conditions for fires to start and spread rapidly. Residents need to be vigilant and prepared for potential evacuations.

Flooding is another significant concern, with the area experiencing increased rainfall intensity. This can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding, impacting homes, infrastructure, and agricultural land. Effective flood management strategies are crucial to mitigate these risks.

While Barrington Tops is not directly affected by coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the region. Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from residents, local government, and emergency services.

Addressing climate change in Barrington Tops requires a multi-faceted approach, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, implementing effective land management practices, and enhancing community resilience. By taking proactive steps, the region can minimize the impacts of climate change and ensure a sustainable future.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Barrington Tops?

The main climate risks are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

What should I do during a flood?

Move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

MidCoast Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing community resilience.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Barrington Tops, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Barrington Tops's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections