Climate Risk in Barragga Bay, New South Wales

Barragga Bay, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Barragga Bay faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. The risk scores are projected to increase by 2030 and 2050 under a high emissions scenario. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Barragga Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Barragga Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Barragga Bay

Flood

Barragga Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Barragga Bay is relatively high due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Barragga Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risks are low in Barragga Bay due to its inland location. Sea level rise is not expected to have a significant impact.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Barragga Bay

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Barragga Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Barragga Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are low in Barragga Bay due to its inland location. Sea level rise is not expected to have a significant impact.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Barragga Bay is relatively high due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Create and maintain firebreaks, clear vegetation around properties, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide public education on heatwave safety, and ensure vulnerable residents have access to support.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Sustainable Urban Planning

Long-term

Incorporate climate change considerations into urban planning decisions, including building codes and land use zoning.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Barragga Bay's Climate Risk Profile

Barragga Bay is located in New South Wales and is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are increasing temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and the potential for more intense bushfires.

Flooding is also a concern, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Sea level rise is a less significant but still relevant factor.

The local council and emergency services are working to mitigate these risks through various adaptation strategies. These include improving infrastructure, implementing early warning systems, and educating the community about climate change preparedness.

Residents can take steps to protect themselves and their properties by preparing for extreme weather events. This includes having an emergency plan, maintaining their properties, and staying informed about local conditions and warnings.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Barragga Bay?

The main risks are increased bushfire risk, more frequent heatwaves, and potential for flooding.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, create firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in a cool place.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Check the local council's website for flood maps and information.

How is the council addressing climate change?

The council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce risks and improve community resilience.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Barragga Bay, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Barragga Bay's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections