Climate Risk Profile: Barrack Point, NSW

Barrack Point, New South Wales· Shellharbour· 2528
Updated May 2026

Barrack Point is a coastal suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.

Is Barrack Point Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Barrack Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Barrack Point

Flood

Barrack Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Lake Illawarra and the ocean. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in Barrack Point is relatively low due to the suburb's coastal location and limited vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

Barrack Point is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. High temperatures can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Barrack Point is exposed to coastal hazards such as erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The coastline is vulnerable to storm surges and extreme weather events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Barrack Point

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Barrack Point is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. High temperatures can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Barrack Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Lake Illawarra and the ocean. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Barrack Point is exposed to coastal hazards such as erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The coastline is vulnerable to storm surges and extreme weather events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in Barrack Point is relatively low due to the suburb's coastal location and limited vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Increased temperatures
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess coastal erosion risks.
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Coastal Management Strategies

Near-term

Develop and implement strategies to protect the coastline from erosion and inundation, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise Awareness of Climate Risks

Long-term

Educate residents about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Barrack Point's Climate Risk Profile

Barrack Point, located on the coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying areas and proximity to the ocean make it particularly susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a significant threat to public health.

Flooding is a major concern for Barrack Point, as intense rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems and cause widespread inundation. Sea level rise is exacerbating the risk of coastal flooding, threatening homes and infrastructure along the shoreline. The local council is working to improve drainage infrastructure and implement coastal management strategies, but further action is needed to protect the community.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Barrack Point, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water, staying indoors, and using air conditioning.

Coastal erosion is another significant threat to Barrack Point, as rising sea levels and more frequent storms are causing the coastline to recede. This erosion threatens homes, infrastructure, and recreational areas along the shoreline. The local council is implementing coastal management strategies to protect the coastline, but further action is needed to address this growing problem.

Overall, Barrack Point faces a range of climate risks that are expected to worsen in the coming years. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards, such as developing emergency plans, investing in flood protection measures, and staying informed about weather forecasts and warnings.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Barrack Point?

The main climate change risks for Barrack Point are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to worsen with rising temperatures and sea levels.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

Shellharbour City Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, developing coastal management strategies, and promoting water conservation.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Barrack Point?

To prepare for flooding in Barrack Point, you can develop an emergency plan, invest in flood protection measures, and stay informed about weather forecasts and warnings.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Barrack Point?

To stay safe during a heatwave in Barrack Point, you can drink plenty of water, stay indoors, use air conditioning, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is being done to protect the coastline from erosion in Barrack Point?

Shellharbour City Council is implementing coastal management strategies to protect the coastline from erosion, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Will climate change affect my property value in Barrack Point?

Climate change may affect property values in Barrack Point, particularly in areas that are at high risk of flooding or coastal erosion. It's important to consider these risks when buying or selling property.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Barrack Point, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections