Climate Risk Profile: Bakers Swamp, NSW

Bakers Swamp, New South Wales· Dubbo Regional
Updated May 2026

Bakers Swamp faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. The area is also susceptible to bushfires. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Is Bakers Swamp Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Bakers Swamp, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bakers Swamp

Flood

Bakers Swamp faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location within a floodplain and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Floodplain location

Bushfire

The area around Bakers Swamp has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures

Heat

Bakers Swamp is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Bakers Swamp is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bakers Swamp

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Bakers Swamp is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Bakers Swamp faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location within a floodplain and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Floodplain location
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Bakers Swamp is not exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Bakers Swamp has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and fire risk.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and expand drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including vegetation management, fire breaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bakers Swamp's Climate Risk Profile

Bakers Swamp, located in the Dubbo Regional area of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this region are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

The risk of flooding is driven by the suburb's location within a floodplain and its proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to bring more intense rainfall events, which will likely exacerbate the existing flood risk. Inadequate drainage infrastructure may also contribute to the problem.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Bakers Swamp. As average temperatures rise, the region will experience more frequent and severe heatwaves, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. The urban heat island effect may further amplify the impact of heatwaves.

While the risk of bushfires is moderate, it should not be ignored. The surrounding vegetation provides fuel for potential fires, and drier conditions coupled with higher temperatures can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Residents should take precautions to protect their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Coastal risks are minimal for Bakers Swamp due to its inland location.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Bakers Swamp?

The main climate change risks for Bakers Swamp are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Bakers Swamp?

Property values in Bakers Swamp may be affected by increased climate risks, particularly flooding and bushfires. Insurance premiums may also increase.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Bakers Swamp?

To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Follow the advice of local health authorities.

What should I do during a flood in Bakers Swamp?

During a flood, stay informed about warnings and evacuation orders. Move to higher ground if necessary, and avoid driving through floodwaters.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Bakers Swamp?

To protect your property from bushfires, clear vegetation around your home, maintain fire breaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bakers Swamp, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections