Climate Risk Assessment for Backwater, NSW

Backwater, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Backwater faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Backwater Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Backwater, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Backwater

Flood

Backwater faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Backwater is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Backwater is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risk is low due to Backwater's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Backwater

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Backwater is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Backwater faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is low due to Backwater's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Backwater is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Reduce Bushfire Fuel Load

Near-term

Implement vegetation management programs to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Raise Community Awareness

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures through workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Backwater's Climate Risk Profile

Backwater is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential for flash flooding. The local waterways and low-lying areas make the suburb susceptible to inundation. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, especially for the elderly and those with chronic conditions. It is crucial to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Bushfire risk is also present, particularly during dry periods. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if a bushfire threatens the area.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness, community resilience, and government action. Investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing effective emergency management plans, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions are essential steps to protect Backwater from the worst impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Backwater?

The main climate change risks in Backwater are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures.

How can I prepare for flooding in Backwater?

You can prepare for flooding by staying informed about flood warnings, having an evacuation plan in place, and protecting your property with sandbags and other flood mitigation measures.

What should I do during a heatwave in Backwater?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Backwater?

You can protect your property from bushfires by maintaining your property to reduce fuel loads, clearing vegetation around your home, and having a bushfire survival plan in place.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Backwater?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Backwater from the local council, state government agencies, and scientific organizations such as the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Backwater, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections