Climate Risk in Aylmerton, NSW
Aylmerton faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's inland location mitigates coastal risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Aylmerton Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Aylmerton, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Aylmerton
Flood
Aylmerton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. The risk is projected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
Aylmerton has a notable risk of bushfires due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season exacerbate this risk. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Hot and dry climate
Heat
Aylmerton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Aylmerton is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location. The risk is minimal.
Key drivers:
- ·Inland location
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Aylmerton
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Aylmerton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Aylmerton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. The risk is projected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Aylmerton is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location. The risk is minimal.
Primary Drivers
- ·Inland location
bushfire Risk
Aylmerton has a notable risk of bushfires due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season exacerbate this risk. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Hot and dry climate
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and costs.
- 4.Consider long-term climate projections.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termImplement measures to reduce flood risk, such as improving drainage systems and constructing flood barriers.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediatePrepare properties for bushfires by clearing vegetation, creating firebreaks, and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Management
Near-termDevelop strategies to manage heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers and providing support to vulnerable residents.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreSustainable Land Use Planning
Long-termIncorporate climate change considerations into land use planning to minimise risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Aylmerton's Climate Risk Profile
Aylmerton, located in the Wingecarribee Shire of New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from heavy rainfall, bushfires due to its proximity to bushland, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.
The risk of flooding is exacerbated by the potential for intense rainfall events, which are projected to become more common with climate change. This can lead to overflow from local waterways and stormwater systems, impacting properties and infrastructure.
Bushfire risk is significant due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions, particularly during the summer months, create a high fire danger. Climate change is expected to worsen these conditions, leading to more frequent and severe bushfires.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with average temperatures projected to rise. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Infrastructure may also be affected by extreme heat.
While Aylmerton is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change will still be felt. Residents and property owners should take proactive measures to mitigate these risks and adapt to a changing climate.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wingecarribee Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Aylmerton?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Aylmerton?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased risks from flooding and bushfires.
What can I do to prepare my property for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your property, create firebreaks, and develop an evacuation plan.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Aylmerton?
You can find flood maps and information on the Wingecarribee Shire Council website.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections