Climate Risk in Austral, NSW
Austral is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Austral Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Austral, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Austral
Flood
Austral faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Austral has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Austral is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Austral is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Austral
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Austral is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Lack of green space
flood Risk
Austral faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Austral is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Austral has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
- 4.Consider the potential impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire risk mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water demand during periods of drought and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Austral's Climate Risk Profile
Austral, located in the Liverpool region of New South Wales, is a growing suburb with increasing exposure to climate change impacts. The primary risks include flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves resulting from rising temperatures. Bushfire risk is also present due to the surrounding bushland.
The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it vulnerable to flooding, especially during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. This can cause damage to property, disrupt transportation, and pose risks to human safety.
Rising temperatures are expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves in Austral. This can have significant impacts on public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly, children, and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate the impacts of heatwaves.
While not as significant as flooding and heatwaves, bushfire risk is also a concern for Austral. The surrounding bushland provides fuel for fires, and hotter, drier conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of a fire.
Adapting to climate change is essential for protecting the community and ensuring the long-term sustainability of Austral. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing heatwave management plans, and promoting bushfire safety awareness.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Liverpool City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Austral?
The main climate change risks in Austral are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate flood risk, while rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to the surrounding bushland.
How will climate change affect property values in Austral?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions due to increased flood risk. Insurance premiums may also increase due to flood and bushfire risk. It's important to assess a property's vulnerability to climate change impacts before purchasing.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Austral?
Liverpool City Council is implementing various measures to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, developing a heatwave management plan, and promoting bushfire safety awareness. The council also has a climate strategy in place to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Austral?
To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek out air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members, and be aware of the signs of heat stress.
What should I do in case of a flood in Austral?
In case of a flood, move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services. Have a flood emergency plan in place and know where to go for safety.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Austral, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections