Climate Risk in Ashford, New South Wales
Ashford faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb is located inland, so coastal risks are negligible. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Ashford Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ashford, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ashford
Flood
Ashford faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and riverine flooding along the Severn River. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
Ashford has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk through longer fire seasons and increased fuel dryness.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry climate
Heat
Ashford experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Ashford is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ashford
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ashford experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Ashford faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and riverine flooding along the Severn River. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Ashford is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
Ashford has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk through longer fire seasons and increased fuel dryness.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry climate
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Longer fire seasons
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees, improved drainage systems, and flood-proofing of buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Management
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns, vegetation management, and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan, including public awareness campaigns, cooling centers, and support for vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreWater Conservation
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to address the impacts of drought and reduced rainfall, such as rainwater harvesting and efficient irrigation techniques.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Resilience Building
Long-termFoster community resilience through education, training, and support networks to help residents prepare for and respond to climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ashford's Climate Risk Profile
Ashford, NSW, is a rural town that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from the Severn River, bushfires due to the surrounding bushland, and heatwaves during the summer months.
Flooding is a significant concern, with heavy rainfall events causing the Severn River to overflow its banks. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, leading to more frequent and severe flooding.
The risk of bushfires is also high, particularly during dry periods. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase the severity of fires.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Rising average temperatures are also impacting agriculture and water resources.
While Ashford is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the town.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Ashford?
Ashford is primarily at risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are projected to increase with climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Ashford?
Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or bushfires, may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance costs and potential damage.
What can I do to prepare for a flood in Ashford?
Stay informed about flood warnings, develop a flood plan, and consider flood-proofing your property if you live in a high-risk area.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Ashford?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain your property, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.
What resources are available to help me cope with heatwaves in Ashford?
Stay hydrated, seek out air-conditioned spaces, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves. Local councils and health services can provide additional support.
Is Ashford prepared for climate change?
The local council is in the early stages of developing climate adaptation strategies. Residents should advocate for more proactive measures to protect the community.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ashford, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections