Climate Risk in Ashcroft, New South Wales
Ashcroft is a suburb in Sydney, NSW, that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also present. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Ashcroft Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ashcroft, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ashcroft
Flood
Ashcroft faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Ashcroft has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Ashcroft is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Ashcroft is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ashcroft
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ashcroft is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Ashcroft faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Ashcroft is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Ashcroft has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a survival plan.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency measures to mitigate heat impacts.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ashcroft's Climate Risk Profile
Ashcroft, located in the Liverpool area of Sydney, is susceptible to several climate change impacts. The primary concern is increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events. The suburb's relatively flat topography and existing drainage infrastructure may not be adequate to handle the projected increases in precipitation.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during hot and dry periods. Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts are expected to exacerbate bushfire conditions, increasing the likelihood of fires impacting the community.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Ashcroft residents. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heat, leading to higher temperatures and increased health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
While coastal hazards are not a direct threat due to Ashcroft's inland location, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the suburb. Residents should stay informed about local risks and take steps to prepare for extreme weather events.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Liverpool City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Ashcroft?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Ashcroft?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums may also increase due to higher risks.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Ashcroft?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider energy-efficient cooling options for your home.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Ashcroft?
Maintain your property by clearing vegetation, have a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Ashcroft?
Liverpool City Council provides flood maps and information on its website. The NSW State Emergency Service also offers resources on flood preparedness.
Is Ashcroft likely to experience water restrictions in the future?
With climate change impacting rainfall patterns, Ashcroft may experience more frequent water restrictions. Conserving water is important.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ashcroft, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections