Climate Risk Profile: Ashby, NSW
Ashby, NSW, faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Clarence River makes it vulnerable to riverine flooding, which is expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Ashby Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ashby, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ashby
Flood
Ashby is located near the Clarence River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Ashby has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Ashby is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Ashby is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes to riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ashby
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ashby is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Ashby is located near the Clarence River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Ashby is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes to riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
bushfire Risk
Ashby has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property defensibility.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Obtain a building inspection to assess structural integrity.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInstall flood barriers, elevate electrical systems, and improve drainage around properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termCreate a bushfire survival plan, clear vegetation around properties, and install firebreaks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
ImmediateInstall air conditioning or fans, improve home insulation, and stay hydrated during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education
Long-termParticipate in community workshops and training sessions on climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ashby's Climate Risk Profile
Ashby, located in the Clarence Valley of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The suburb's location near the Clarence River exposes it to riverine flooding, which is projected to become more frequent and severe due to increased rainfall intensity.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, with hotter and drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fires in the surrounding vegetation. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and stay informed about fire danger ratings.
Heatwaves are expected to become more common and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is important to have a plan for staying cool during heatwaves and to check on neighbors who may be at risk.
Sea level rise may indirectly affect Ashby through changes to riverine flooding. While the suburb is not directly on the coast, changes to the river's flow and drainage patterns could exacerbate flood risks. Residents should stay informed about local council plans for managing these risks.
Overall, Ashby faces a range of climate-related challenges that require proactive adaptation measures. By understanding the risks and taking steps to prepare, residents can protect themselves and their properties from the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Clarence Valley Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Ashby?
The main climate change risks for Ashby are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by installing flood barriers, elevating electrical systems, and improving drainage. It is also important to have a flood plan and to know where to go in the event of a flood.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay cool, stay hydrated, and check on vulnerable neighbors. If you do not have air conditioning, consider visiting a public cooling center.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
You can reduce your bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your property, creating firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan. It is also important to stay informed about fire danger ratings.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Ashby?
You can find more information about climate change in Ashby on the Clarence Valley Council website and the NSW Government's climate change website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections