Climate Risk Profile: Ashby Island, NSW
Ashby Island faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. Sea level rise and more intense rainfall events are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Ashby Island Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ashby Island, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ashby Island
Flood
Ashby Island is at a high risk of flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to the Clarence River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Ashby Island is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but it's not negligible. The presence of vegetation and dry conditions during summer months can increase the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Ashby Island is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Ashby Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The low-lying nature of the island makes it particularly susceptible to these impacts.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ashby Island
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ashby Island is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Ashby Island is at a high risk of flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to the Clarence River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Ashby Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The low-lying nature of the island makes it particularly susceptible to these impacts.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Ashby Island is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but it's not negligible. The presence of vegetation and dry conditions during summer months can increase the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation as fuel
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood history of the property.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
- 4.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency for heatwaves.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in levees, seawalls, and improved drainage systems to protect against flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
Near-termImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePlan for Coastal Retreat
Long-termDevelop a long-term plan for managed retreat from areas at high risk of coastal erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreAbout Ashby Island's Climate Risk Profile
Ashby Island, located in the Clarence River, is a low-lying area susceptible to various climate change impacts. The primary concern is the increasing risk of flooding due to rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events. The island's proximity to the river makes it particularly vulnerable to both riverine and coastal flooding.
Bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions in NSW, but it's still a factor to consider, especially during dry periods. Increased temperatures and drier conditions can elevate the risk of bushfires spreading to the island.
Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to the health and well-being of residents, especially vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these impacts.
Coastal erosion and inundation are also significant concerns due to sea level rise. The island's low elevation makes it susceptible to these impacts, potentially leading to property damage and displacement.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Clarence Valley Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Ashby Island?
The main risks are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.
How will climate change affect property values on Ashby Island?
Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding and coastal erosion.
What can I do to protect my home from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, raising the foundation, and improving drainage around your property.
Where can I find information about emergency preparedness?
Visit the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website for information about emergency preparedness and response.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ashby Island, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Ashby Island's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections