Climate Risk in Ashbury, NSW
Ashbury faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment and distance from the coast mitigate bushfire and coastal risks. Residents should prepare for increasing heat and potential flood events.
Is Ashbury Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ashbury, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ashbury
Flood
Ashbury has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff. Some areas may be susceptible to flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Ashbury has a relatively low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited surrounding bushland. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Ashbury experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Ashbury has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ashbury
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ashbury experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Ashbury has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff. Some areas may be susceptible to flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Ashbury has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Ashbury has a relatively low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited surrounding bushland. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Potential for minor price impacts due to flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease tree canopy cover
Long-termPlant more trees to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote water conservation
Near-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ashbury's Climate Risk Profile
Ashbury, NSW, is a suburb that faces increasing climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are related to flooding from intense rainfall and the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves. While the risk of bushfire is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature, it is not entirely absent, especially with changing climate conditions. Coastal risks are minimal due to Ashbury's inland location.
Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. The existing stormwater infrastructure may be insufficient to handle increased rainfall intensity, leading to localized flooding. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take necessary precautions.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures, making it even hotter in Ashbury compared to surrounding areas. Access to cooling and adequate hydration are crucial during heatwaves.
Bushfire risk is lower compared to other areas in NSW, but ember attack from distant fires remains a possibility. Maintaining gardens and clearing gutters can help reduce the risk of ember attack.
While coastal hazards are not a direct threat to Ashbury, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the suburb.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Canterbury-Bankstown Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Ashbury?
The main climate risks in Ashbury are flooding from heavy rainfall and heatwaves. The suburb is also at a low risk of bushfire.
How can I prepare for flooding in Ashbury?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.
What can I do to stay safe during a heatwave in Ashbury?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.
Is Ashbury prone to bushfires?
Ashbury has a relatively low risk of bushfires due to its urban location. However, it's important to be aware of ember attack from distant fires.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Ashbury?
You can find more information about climate change impacts in Ashbury on the Canterbury-Bankstown Council website and the NSW government's environment website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ashbury, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections