Climate Risk Profile: Alma, NSW

Alma, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Alma, NSW, faces increasing risks from heatwaves and flooding due to climate change. While bushfire risk is present, it is less severe than heat and flood risks. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Is Alma Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Alma, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Alma

Flood

Alma faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially worsening flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Alma is relatively low but still present. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures

Heat

Alma is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Alma is not located near the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Alma

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Alma is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change
Data source

flood Risk

Alma faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially worsening flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Alma is not located near the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Alma is relatively low but still present. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider energy-efficient upgrades for cooling.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote energy-efficient cooling

Near-term

Encourage residents to adopt energy-efficient cooling measures to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire preparedness

Long-term

Maintain properties to reduce bushfire risk, including clearing vegetation and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Alma's Climate Risk Profile

Alma is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising temperatures leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity causing a higher risk of flooding.

The risk of heatwaves is a significant concern for Alma. As temperatures rise, vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions are at greater risk. The urban environment can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves, creating an urban heat island effect.

Flooding is another major risk for Alma. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems and cause property damage. Climate change models predict that these rainfall events will become more frequent and severe.

While bushfire risk is present, it is not as severe as the risks from heatwaves and flooding. However, drier conditions and higher temperatures can increase the likelihood of bushfires, particularly in areas close to bushland.

Coastal risks are minimal for Alma due to its inland location. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Alma?

The main climate change risks for Alma are increased heatwaves and flooding. Bushfire risk is also present, but less severe. Coastal risks are minimal.

How will climate change affect property values in Alma?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions. Insurance premiums may also increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Alma?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider energy-efficient cooling options for your home.

How can I reduce my property's risk of bushfire?

Maintain your property by clearing vegetation and creating firebreaks. Follow guidance from the NSW Rural Fire Service.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Alma?

Consult local council records and flood maps. The NSW State Emergency Service also provides information on flood preparedness.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Alma, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Alma's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Alma, NSW | ClimateNest