Climate Risk in Alexandria, NSW

Alexandria, New South Wales· City of Sydney· 2015
Updated Apr 2026

Alexandria faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity also pose a threat. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Alexandria Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Alexandria, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Alexandria

Flood

Alexandria faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Alexandria is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from significant bushland areas. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Alexandria is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Alexandria faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal inundation and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Alexandria

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Alexandria is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Alexandria faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Alexandria faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal inundation and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Alexandria is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from significant bushland areas. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans
  • 4.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from sea level rise and storm surge, such as building seawalls and restoring natural habitats.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote green infrastructure

Near-term

Increase vegetation cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Alexandria's Climate Risk Profile

Alexandria, a suburb of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal inundation. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's low-lying topography and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, will likely lead to more frequent and severe flood events. This poses a threat to property and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are another major risk, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect further amplifies the impact of heatwaves in Alexandria. Rising temperatures will increase the frequency and intensity of these events.

Coastal inundation is a growing concern due to sea level rise and increased storm surge. Low-lying areas of Alexandria are at risk of being inundated during extreme weather events. This could lead to property damage and displacement of residents.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and protecting coastal areas. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Alexandria?

The main climate change risks in Alexandria are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal inundation. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to changes in rainfall patterns, rising temperatures, and sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Alexandria?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Properties that are more resilient to climate change impacts, such as those with good drainage and insulation, may be more attractive to buyers.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Alexandria?

The City of Sydney has a climate change adaptation strategy that outlines measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These measures include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting green infrastructure.

How can I prepare my home for climate change impacts?

You can prepare your home for climate change impacts by improving drainage, installing insulation, planting trees, and developing an emergency plan. It is also important to stay informed about climate change risks and take steps to reduce your carbon footprint.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Alexandria?

You can find more information about climate change in Alexandria on the City of Sydney website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Alexandria, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections