Climate Risk Profile: Abercrombie River, NSW
Abercrombie River faces notable risks from flooding and bushfires, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb also experiences moderate heat risk. Coastal risks are negligible due to its inland location.
Is Abercrombie River Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Abercrombie River, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Abercrombie River
Flood
Abercrombie River is prone to flooding due to its proximity to the Abercrombie River and surrounding waterways. Heavy rainfall events can cause the river to swell, inundating low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
The area surrounding Abercrombie River has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of dense vegetation and dry conditions, particularly during the summer months. This poses a significant threat to properties and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Abercrombie River experiences moderate heat risk, with average maximum temperatures increasing during the summer months. This can lead to heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Abercrombie River is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Abercrombie River
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Abercrombie River experiences moderate heat risk, with average maximum temperatures increasing during the summer months. This can lead to heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Abercrombie River is prone to flooding due to its proximity to the Abercrombie River and surrounding waterways. Heavy rainfall events can cause the river to swell, inundating low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Abercrombie River is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Abercrombie River has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of dense vegetation and dry conditions, particularly during the summer months. This poses a significant threat to properties and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire prevention measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
Near-termCreate a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Community Education Programs
Near-termImplement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and promote preparedness measures.
Est. cost: Low
About Abercrombie River's Climate Risk Profile
Abercrombie River, located in New South Wales, is an area that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfire risks, both of which are expected to intensify in the coming decades due to climate change.
Flooding is a significant threat due to the suburb's proximity to the Abercrombie River and other waterways. Heavy rainfall can cause the river to overflow, inundating low-lying areas and posing risks to properties and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating the flood risk.
Bushfire risk is also high in Abercrombie River, with the surrounding area characterized by dense vegetation that can act as fuel during dry conditions. Higher temperatures and prolonged droughts, driven by climate change, are likely to increase the frequency and severity of bushfires, posing a significant threat to the community.
While heat risk is moderate, it is still a concern, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The suburb's inland location means that coastal risks are minimal.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies, including improved flood management, bushfire prevention measures, and efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
UNKNOWN
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Abercrombie River?
The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is a concern due to the proximity to the Abercrombie River, while bushfires are a risk due to the surrounding vegetation. Heatwaves can also pose a threat to vulnerable populations.
How is climate change expected to impact Abercrombie River?
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as floods, bushfires, and heatwaves. This could lead to increased property damage, health impacts, and economic losses.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change?
Residents can take steps to prepare for climate change by improving their property's resilience to flooding and bushfires, developing a heat action plan, and staying informed about climate risks.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The council is working to address climate change by developing a climate strategy, implementing flood mitigation measures, and promoting bushfire preparedness. Please refer to the council's website for more information.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Abercrombie River?
You can find more information about climate risks from the NSW State Emergency Service (SES), the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS), and the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM).
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Abercrombie River, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections