Climate Risk in Abercrombie, NSW

Abercrombie, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Abercrombie faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Abercrombie Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Abercrombie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Abercrombie

Flood

Abercrombie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in Abercrombie is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Abercrombie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risk is negligible in Abercrombie due to its inland location.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Abercrombie

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Abercrombie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Abercrombie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is negligible in Abercrombie due to its inland location.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in Abercrombie is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfire.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to mitigate heat risk.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management plans and conduct community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water restrictions and promote water-efficient landscaping.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Abercrombie's Climate Risk Profile

Abercrombie, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks, primarily flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The suburb's location near waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during the dry summer months. The presence of surrounding bushland creates a potential source of ignition, and strong winds can quickly spread fires. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a significant health risk, especially for vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly or unwell neighbors during heatwaves.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Abercrombie's inland location, the community should still be aware of the broader impacts of climate change and take steps to reduce their carbon footprint. This includes supporting policies that promote renewable energy and sustainable development.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Abercrombie?

The main climate risks in Abercrombie are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly or unwell neighbors.

How can I reduce my bushfire risk?

You can reduce your bushfire risk by maintaining your property to reduce fuel loads, clearing gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Abercrombie?

You can find more information about climate change in Abercrombie on the Bathurst Regional Council website, the NSW Government website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Abercrombie, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Abercrombie's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections