Climate Risk Assessment: Turner, ACT
Turner faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heatwaves and flooding. The suburb's urban environment amplifies the impact of heat, while localized flooding can occur during heavy rainfall events. Bushfire risk is relatively low but not negligible.
Is Turner Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Turner, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Turner
Flood
Turner faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. The area's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas contributes to this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Turner has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from large areas of dense bushland. However, grassfires and ember attacks from nearby bushland remain a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
Heat
Turner is experiencing an increasing risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Turner is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Turner
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Turner is experiencing an increasing risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Turner faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. The area's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas contributes to this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Turner has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from large areas of dense bushland. However, grassfires and ember attacks from nearby bushland remain a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
- ·Proximity to bushland
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heat risks.
Price Impact
Properties in low-lying areas may experience some price impact due to flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.
- 4.Inquire about local council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Stormwater Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of localized flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Urban Cooling Strategies
ImmediateIncrease tree canopy cover, promote green roofs and walls, and use cool pavements to mitigate the urban heat island effect.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Community Heatwave Preparedness Plan
ImmediateEstablish a community-based plan to support vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water-Sensitive Urban Design
Long-termIncorporate water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Turner's Climate Risk Profile
Turner, located in Canberra, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The most significant threats are rising temperatures and increased frequency of heatwaves, exacerbated by the urban heat island effect. This poses health risks, particularly for elderly and vulnerable residents.
Flooding is another concern, with potential for localized inundation during intense rainfall events. Stormwater systems can be overwhelmed, leading to property damage and disruption. While bushfire risk is lower compared to some other areas in the ACT, the potential for grassfires and ember attacks from surrounding bushland should not be ignored.
Climate projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Adaptation measures, such as improved stormwater management, green infrastructure to mitigate the urban heat island effect, and community awareness programs, are crucial to building resilience in Turner.
Addressing climate change impacts in Turner requires a collaborative effort involving residents, local government, and community organizations. By implementing proactive strategies, the suburb can mitigate risks and create a more sustainable and resilient future.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Turner?
The main climate change risks in Turner are heatwaves, flooding, and to a lesser extent, bushfires. Rising temperatures and more intense rainfall events are the primary drivers of these risks.
How will climate change affect property values in Turner?
Properties in low-lying areas of Turner may experience some price impact due to increased flood risk. However, the overall impact on property values is expected to be moderate.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Turner?
The ACT Government is implementing various climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, including upgrading stormwater infrastructure, promoting green infrastructure, and developing community preparedness plans.
How can I prepare my home for heatwaves in Turner?
You can prepare your home for heatwaves by installing insulation, using window coverings, planting trees for shade, and ensuring you have access to air conditioning or cooling devices.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Turner?
You can find information about flood risks in Turner on the ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate website, which provides flood maps and related resources.
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This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Turner, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections