Climate Risk Profile: Stromlo, ACT

Stromlo, Australian Capital Territory· 2611
Updated Mar 2026

Stromlo is a suburb in the Australian Capital Territory that faces moderate risks from bushfires and heatwaves. The risk of flooding is relatively low. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events in the future.

Is Stromlo Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Stromlo, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Stromlo

Flood

Stromlo has a relatively low risk of flooding. While some areas may be susceptible to localised flooding during heavy rainfall events, the overall risk is considered minimal.

Key drivers:

  • ·Local rainfall patterns
  • ·Topography

Bushfire

Stromlo faces a moderate risk of bushfires due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is elevated during dry periods and heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Fuel load

Heat

Stromlo is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Stromlo is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Stromlo

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Stromlo is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Stromlo has a relatively low risk of flooding. While some areas may be susceptible to localised flooding during heavy rainfall events, the overall risk is considered minimal.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Local rainfall patterns
  • ·Topography
  • ·Drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Stromlo is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Stromlo faces a moderate risk of bushfires due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is elevated during dry periods and heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Fuel load
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of bushfires and heatwaves.

Price Impact

Property values may be slightly affected by the increasing risk of bushfires and heatwaves.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check for bushfire protection measures.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
  • 4.Understand local flood risks and drainage systems.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire protection measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and installing fire-resistant building materials.

Est. cost: Low to Medium

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Resilience

Near-term

Install air conditioning or fans, improve insulation, and plant trees to provide shade. Ensure access to cooling centers during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Long-term

Invest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Stromlo's Climate Risk Profile

Stromlo, located in the ACT, is characterized by a generally low overall climate risk profile. The primary concerns for Stromlo are bushfire and heatwave risks, which are projected to increase with climate change.

The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the bushfire risk, particularly during dry and windy conditions. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties accordingly.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with projections indicating more frequent and intense heat events. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

While flooding is not a major concern, localized flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall. Maintaining drainage systems and avoiding construction in flood-prone areas can help mitigate this risk.

Coastal risks are not applicable to Stromlo due to its inland location. Residents should stay informed about climate change projections and take appropriate adaptation measures to protect themselves and their properties.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Stromlo?

The main climate risks facing Stromlo are bushfires and heatwaves. The risk of flooding is relatively low, but localized flooding can occur during heavy rainfall events.

How is climate change expected to impact Stromlo in the future?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires and heatwaves in Stromlo. This could lead to increased property damage, health risks, and strain on infrastructure.

What can I do to protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, installing fire-resistant building materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.

How can I prepare for heatwaves?

You can prepare for heatwaves by installing air conditioning or fans, improving insulation, and staying hydrated. It's also important to check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the ACT?

You can find more information about climate change in the ACT on the ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Stromlo, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Stromlo's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Stromlo, ACT | ClimateNest