Climate Risk Profile: Oaks Estate, ACT
Oaks Estate faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Oaks Estate Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Oaks Estate
Flood
Oaks Estate has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Queanbeyan River. Localized flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to river
- ·Rainfall patterns
Bushfire
The area surrounding Oaks Estate has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry climate
- ·Vegetation density
Heat
Oaks Estate experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Oaks Estate is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Oaks Estate
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Oaks Estate experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Oaks Estate has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Queanbeyan River. Localized flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to river
- ·Rainfall patterns
- ·Urban development
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Oaks Estate has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry climate
- ·Vegetation density
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management plans, including controlled burns and vegetation clearing, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plan
Near-termCreate a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during periods of extreme heat, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water demand during periods of drought and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Oaks Estate's Climate Risk Profile
Oaks Estate, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to the Queanbeyan River makes it vulnerable to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. The surrounding grasslands and bushland also pose a significant bushfire risk, particularly during the hot, dry summer months.
Rising temperatures due to climate change are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves in Oaks Estate. This could have significant impacts on public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
While Oaks Estate is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as changes in rainfall patterns and increased temperatures, will still affect the suburb. It is important for residents to take steps to prepare for these changes and to reduce their carbon footprint.
Local authorities are working to address these risks through a range of measures, including flood mitigation projects, bushfire management plans, and heatwave preparedness strategies. However, individual action is also essential to ensure the safety and well-being of the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Oaks Estate?
Oaks Estate faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and have a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Oaks Estate?
The ACT Government's environment website provides information about flood risks and flood maps for the area.
Is Oaks Estate considered a bushfire-prone area?
Yes, Oaks Estate is designated as a bushfire-prone area, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Oaks Estate, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections