Climate Risk in Ngunnawal, ACT

Ngunnawal, Australian Capital Territory· 2913
Updated Mar 2026

Ngunnawal faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. While coastal risks are negligible, residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Is Ngunnawal Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ngunnawal, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ngunnawal

Flood

Ngunnawal faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Development and urbanization can increase runoff, exacerbating flood potential.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Ngunnawal has a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Ngunnawal is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Ngunnawal is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ngunnawal

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Ngunnawal is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Ngunnawal faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Development and urbanization can increase runoff, exacerbating flood potential.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Ngunnawal is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Ngunnawal has a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Create and maintain firebreaks around properties, clear flammable vegetation, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Flood Resilience

Near-term

Install flood barriers, elevate electrical systems, and ensure proper drainage around properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Heatwave Safety

Immediate

Establish cooling centers, provide assistance to vulnerable residents, and promote awareness of heatwave risks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Invest in Water Conservation

Long-term

Install rainwater tanks, use water-efficient appliances, and implement water-wise landscaping practices.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Ngunnawal's Climate Risk Profile

Ngunnawal, located in the northern suburbs of Canberra, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to grasslands and bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry periods. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons.

Flooding is another concern for Ngunnawal, with potential for heavy rainfall events to cause localized flooding. Urban development and increased runoff can further contribute to this risk. The suburb is also likely to experience more frequent and severe heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable residents.

While Ngunnawal does not face direct coastal threats, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for resources, could indirectly affect the community. It is essential for residents to take proactive measures to mitigate these risks and adapt to the changing climate.

Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved urban planning, enhanced emergency preparedness, and community awareness programs. By working together, residents, local authorities, and other stakeholders can build a more resilient and sustainable future for Ngunnawal.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Ngunnawal?

The main climate risks in Ngunnawal are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property by creating firebreaks, clearing flammable vegetation, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Ngunnawal?

You can find information about flood risks on the ACT Government Environment and Planning website, which provides flood maps and other resources.

Are there any government programs to help residents adapt to climate change?

Yes, the ACT Government offers various programs and incentives to help residents improve energy efficiency, conserve water, and prepare for extreme weather events.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ngunnawal, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Ngunnawal, ACT | ClimateNest