Climate Risk Profile: Narrabundah, ACT

Narrabundah, Australian Capital Territory· 2604
Updated Mar 2026

Narrabundah faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and waterways contributes to these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Narrabundah Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narrabundah, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narrabundah

Flood

Narrabundah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and the nearby Molonglo River. While the area is not directly on the floodplain, localized flooding can occur.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Narrabundah has a moderate to high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is exacerbated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Narrabundah is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Narrabundah is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narrabundah

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Narrabundah is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Narrabundah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and the nearby Molonglo River. While the area is not directly on the floodplain, localized flooding can occur.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Narrabundah is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Narrabundah has a moderate to high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is exacerbated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of localized flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire risk mitigation

Immediate

Implement bushfire risk reduction measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave preparedness

Near-term

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Narrabundah's Climate Risk Profile

Narrabundah, a suburb of Canberra, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and the nearby Molonglo River, bushfires due to its proximity to bushland, and heatwaves affecting vulnerable populations.

Flooding is a concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential urban development impacts. While not directly on a floodplain, localized flooding can occur, disrupting transportation and damaging property. Bushfire risk is elevated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect exacerbates heatwave impacts, posing health risks to residents.

Climate projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Increased temperatures and altered rainfall patterns will lead to more frequent and severe extreme weather events. Adaptation measures are crucial to protect the community and infrastructure.

Residents should stay informed about weather forecasts and emergency alerts, maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards, and take steps to stay cool during heatwaves. Community-level initiatives, such as improved stormwater management and bushfire mitigation strategies, are also essential.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Narrabundah?

The main climate change risks in Narrabundah are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by clearing gutters and downpipes, raising electrical appliances, and storing valuables in a safe place. Check the ACT flood maps to understand your property's risk.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I reduce my bushfire risk?

Reduce your bushfire risk by maintaining your property, clearing vegetation around your home, and having a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the ACT?

You can find more information about climate change in the ACT on the ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narrabundah, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections