Climate Risk in Manly, ACT
Manly, ACT, faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manly
Flood
Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Manly, ACT, is not exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate change impacts become more pronounced.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Develop an emergency plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade drainage infrastructure
Near-termInvest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement bushfire prevention measures
ImmediateImplement bushfire prevention measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to reduce water demand during periods of drought.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Manly's Climate Risk Profile
Manly, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding due to increased rainfall intensity, bushfires exacerbated by hotter and drier conditions, and heatwaves that pose a threat to public health.
The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it susceptible to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change models predict an increase in extreme rainfall events, which could overwhelm existing drainage infrastructure and lead to property damage.
The surrounding bushland also poses a significant bushfire risk, especially during the summer months. Higher temperatures and lower humidity levels create ideal conditions for bushfires to ignite and spread rapidly. Residents need to be prepared to evacuate their homes at short notice.
Heatwaves are another growing concern, with climate change expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events. This can lead to heat stress, dehydration, and other health problems, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in flood mitigation infrastructure, bushfire prevention measures, and public health initiatives to protect residents from heatwaves. Individual households also need to take steps to prepare for extreme weather events, such as developing emergency plans and maintaining their properties to reduce the risk of damage.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Manly?
The main climate change risks in Manly include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
How can I prepare for a flood in Manly?
You can prepare for a flood by checking flood maps, obtaining insurance coverage, and developing an emergency plan.
What should I do during a heatwave in Manly?
During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, stay indoors, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How is the ACT Government addressing climate change?
The ACT Government has a climate change strategy that includes reducing emissions, promoting renewable energy, and adapting to the impacts of climate change.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Manly?
You can find more information about climate change in Manly on the ACT Government's website and the websites of relevant emergency services.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections