Climate Risk in Macgregor, ACT

Macgregor, Australian Capital Territory· 2615
Updated Apr 2026

Macgregor faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in terms of increased heatwave frequency and rainfall intensity. Residents should prepare for potential impacts and stay informed about emergency warnings.

Is Macgregor Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Macgregor, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Macgregor

Flood

Macgregor faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Macgregor has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk during the bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Macgregor experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Macgregor is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Macgregor

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Macgregor experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Macgregor faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Aging infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Macgregor is not exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Macgregor has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk during the bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers may increase premiums in response to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate change projections for the area.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement bushfire mitigation measures

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads around properties and improve bushfire preparedness through community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwave events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-efficient landscaping and water-saving practices to reduce water demand during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Macgregor's Climate Risk Profile

Macgregor, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to intense rainfall events, bushfire risk stemming from nearby bushland, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall overwhelming stormwater drainage systems. Climate change projections indicate an increase in extreme rainfall events, which could worsen flooding in the future. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

Bushfire risk is a significant concern, especially during the dry summer months. The proximity of bushland increases the potential for bushfires to impact the suburb. Maintaining defensible space around properties and staying informed about fire danger ratings are crucial.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures and the urban heat island effect contribute to this risk. Access to cooling centers and strategies for managing heat exposure are important.

While Macgregor is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect the suburb.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Macgregor?

The main climate change risks in Macgregor are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Macgregor?

You can prepare for flooding by staying informed about flood warnings, having a flood plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

What should I do during a bushfire in Macgregor?

During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your property as much as possible.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Macgregor?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Macgregor?

You can find more information about climate change in Macgregor from the ACT Government, the Bureau of Meteorology, and the CSIRO.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Macgregor, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Macgregor's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Macgregor, ACT | ClimateNest