Climate Risk Profile: Kaleen, ACT

kaleen, Australian Capital Territory· 2617
Updated Mar 2026

Kaleen faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Is kaleen Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for kaleen, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for kaleen

Flood

Kaleen has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas are more susceptible due to lower elevation and proximity to drainage channels.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff

Bushfire

Kaleen faces a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grassland and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires impacting the suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of hot, dry days
  • ·Accumulation of flammable vegetation

Heat

Kaleen is experiencing more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Kaleen is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·N/A

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for kaleen

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Kaleen is experiencing more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Kaleen has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas are more susceptible due to lower elevation and proximity to drainage channels.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff
Data source

coastal Risk

Kaleen is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·N/A
Data source

bushfire Risk

Kaleen faces a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grassland and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires impacting the suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of hot, dry days
  • ·Accumulation of flammable vegetation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
  • 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Reduce bushfire hazards

Immediate

Clear flammable vegetation around homes and maintain firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfire damage.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Install energy-efficient cooling

Near-term

Install air conditioning or other cooling systems to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a community emergency plan

Long-term

Create a plan to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events, including evacuation procedures and communication strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About kaleen's Climate Risk Profile

Kaleen, located in the Belconnen district of Canberra, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and drainage channels makes it susceptible to bushfires and flooding, while rising temperatures are exacerbating heatwave risks.

Flooding is a concern due to increased rainfall intensity and urban development, which can lead to stormwater runoff. Bushfire risk is elevated during hot, dry summers, with the potential for fires to spread from nearby bushland areas. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable residents.

Climate projections indicate that these risks will continue to increase in the coming decades. Residents should take proactive measures to protect their homes and families, including preparing for extreme weather events and implementing adaptation strategies.

The local council is working to address climate change through various initiatives, including improving stormwater management, reducing bushfire hazards, and promoting energy efficiency. However, individual action is also essential to build resilience and mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Kaleen?

The main climate change risks in Kaleen are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing flammable vegetation around your property, maintaining firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Kaleen?

You can find information about flood risks in Kaleen on the ACT Government Environment and Planning website, which includes flood maps and other resources.

Is Kaleen a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

Kaleen presents both opportunities and risks for property investment. While the area is desirable, potential buyers should carefully consider the increasing risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, and factor in potential adaptation costs.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in kaleen, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections