Climate Risk in Holmby, Australian Capital Territory

Holmby, Australian Capital Territory
Updated Apr 2026

Holmby faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Is Holmby Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Holmby, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Holmby

Flood

Holmby faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Holmby has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires. Climate change is projected to worsen these conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Hot and dry conditions

Heat

Holmby is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

As Holmby is not located near the coast, the risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion is negligible.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Holmby

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Holmby is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Holmby faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

As Holmby is not located near the coast, the risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion is negligible.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Holmby has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires. Climate change is projected to worsen these conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Hot and dry conditions
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance coverage and premiums.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage infrastructure and implement flood-proofing measures for vulnerable properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Reduce Bushfire Risk

Immediate

Implement regular bushfire hazard reduction programs and educate residents on bushfire preparedness.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Mitigate Heatwave Impacts

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-wise gardening and implement water restrictions during dry periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Holmby's Climate Risk Profile

Holmby, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from increased rainfall intensity, bushfires due to proximity to bushland, and heatwaves exacerbated by climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Residents should be aware of local flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the suburb's location near bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create a high fire danger. Homeowners should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with climate change expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events. Vulnerable populations should take extra care during heatwaves to stay cool and hydrated.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Holmby's inland location, the community should still be aware of the broader impacts of climate change and support efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Holmby?

The main climate risks in Holmby are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase in frequency and intensity due to climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

You can prepare your home for a bushfire by maintaining a defensible space around your property, clearing gutters of leaves and debris, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

You can find information about local flood risks on the ACT Government's Environment and Planning Directorate website.

How is the ACT Government addressing climate change?

The ACT Government has a climate change strategy that includes targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Holmby, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Holmby's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections