Climate Risk Profile: Forde, ACT
Forde faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in relation to heat and flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Forde Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Forde, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Forde
Flood
Forde faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. The area's proximity to watercourses increases its susceptibility.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Forde is moderate due to the presence of surrounding grasslands and bushland. While not directly adjacent to dense forests, the potential for grassfires exists.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Forde is subject to high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Urban areas experience the heat island effect, exacerbating conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Forde is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Forde
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Forde is subject to high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Urban areas experience the heat island effect, exacerbating conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Forde faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. The area's proximity to watercourses increases its susceptibility.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Forde is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Forde is moderate due to the presence of surrounding grasslands and bushland. While not directly adjacent to dense forests, the potential for grassfires exists.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heat risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat.
- 3.Review bushfire safety measures.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Stormwater Drainage
Near-termUpgrade and expand stormwater drainage infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreIncrease Urban Green Space
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Energy Efficiency
ImmediateEncourage energy-efficient building design and appliance use to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
ImmediateImplement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and promote preparedness for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire Mitigation
Long-termImplement regular bushfire mitigation strategies such as controlled burns and vegetation management to reduce fuel loads around the suburb.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Forde's Climate Risk Profile
Forde, located in the northern part of Canberra, is projected to experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and an increased risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events.
The suburb's urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, making it particularly vulnerable to extreme heat. This can lead to increased energy consumption for cooling, strain on infrastructure, and health impacts on vulnerable populations.
Flooding is another significant concern, with potential for stormwater runoff to overwhelm drainage systems during heavy rainfall. The proximity to local waterways further elevates this risk. Climate change models suggest that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
While the risk of bushfire is moderate, it should not be ignored. Grassfires can pose a threat, especially during dry periods with high winds. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire safety guidelines.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including urban planning strategies to mitigate the urban heat island effect, improved stormwater management infrastructure, and community awareness programs to prepare residents for extreme weather events.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Forde?
The main climate change risks for Forde include increased heatwave frequency and intensity, higher risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall, and a moderate risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Forde?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Overall, increased climate risks could impact property values negatively.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Forde?
The ACT Government is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including improving stormwater drainage, increasing urban green space, and promoting energy efficiency.
How can I prepare my home for extreme heat in Forde?
You can prepare your home for extreme heat by installing insulation, using energy-efficient appliances, planting trees for shade, and ensuring proper ventilation.
What should I do during a flood in Forde?
During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving or walking through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.
Where can I find information about bushfire risks in Forde?
You can find information about bushfire risks on the ACT Emergency Services Agency website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections