Climate Risk Profile: Florey, ACT
Florey is a suburb in the Australian Capital Territory that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future, requiring proactive adaptation measures.
Is Florey Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Florey
Flood
Florey has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas are more susceptible due to topography and drainage capacity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Florey faces a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Fuel load
Heat
Florey is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a landlocked suburb, Florey has a negligible risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·N/A
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Florey
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Florey is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Florey has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas are more susceptible due to topography and drainage capacity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
As a landlocked suburb, Florey has a negligible risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·N/A
bushfire Risk
Florey faces a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Fuel load
- ·Urban sprawl
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire risk assessments.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
- 4.Inquire about local adaptation plans and initiatives.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and maintain stormwater drainage systems to reduce the risk of localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire risk reduction measures
ImmediateUndertake fuel reduction activities, maintain firebreaks, and educate residents about bushfire preparedness.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers, provide public health advice, and support vulnerable residents during heatwave events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water-sensitive urban design
Long-termIncorporate water-sensitive design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Florey's Climate Risk Profile
Florey, located in the Belconnen district of Canberra, is a residential suburb with a mix of housing types and green spaces. The suburb's climate is characterized by warm summers and cool winters.
Flooding is a concern in some parts of Florey, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. The local topography and stormwater drainage infrastructure play a role in determining the extent of flood risk. Bushfire risk is also present due to the suburb's proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires impacting the community.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Florey, posing a health risk to vulnerable residents. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. Coastal risks are not relevant to Florey due to its inland location.
Addressing these climate-related risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow down the pace of climate change. Adaptation measures aim to reduce the vulnerability of the community to the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Florey?
Florey faces increasing risks from heatwaves, bushfires, and flooding due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the future.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Stay informed about bushfire alerts and warnings.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Florey?
The ACT Government provides flood maps and information on its website. You can also contact the local council for advice.
What is the ACT Government doing to address climate change?
The ACT Government has a climate change strategy that includes targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Florey, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections