Climate Risk Profile: Curtin, ACT
Curtin faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. As an inland suburb, coastal risks are negligible. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Curtin Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Curtin
Flood
Curtin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas may be susceptible to flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Curtin has a moderate to high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Fuel load
Heat
Curtin is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As an inland suburb, Curtin has a very low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Curtin
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Curtin is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Curtin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas may be susceptible to flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging stormwater infrastructure
coastal Risk
As an inland suburb, Curtin has a very low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Curtin has a moderate to high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Fuel load
- ·Urban interface
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of localised flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
ImmediateConduct regular fuel reduction burns and maintain firebreaks in surrounding bushland to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide information to vulnerable residents on how to stay safe during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to conserve water through rebates and education programs to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Curtin's Climate Risk Profile
Curtin, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall, bushfires due to its proximity to bushland, and heatwaves affecting vulnerable populations.
Flooding is a concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential stormwater runoff issues. Bushfire risk is elevated during hot, dry periods, particularly with strong winds. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to residents.
While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the suburb needs to focus on adaptation strategies to mitigate the effects of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These strategies include improving stormwater infrastructure, managing fuel loads in surrounding bushland, and implementing heatwave preparedness plans.
Long-term climate projections indicate that these risks will continue to increase, highlighting the importance of proactive measures to protect the community and infrastructure. Residents should stay informed about local emergency plans and take steps to prepare their homes and families for extreme weather events.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Curtin?
The main climate change risks in Curtin are flooding from increased rainfall, bushfires due to proximity to bushland, and heatwaves affecting vulnerable populations.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in Curtin?
You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, maintaining firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Curtin?
You can find information about flood risks in Curtin on the ACT Environment and Planning Directorate website.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Curtin?
The ACT Government is implementing a range of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving stormwater infrastructure, and managing bushfire risks.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Curtin?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbours and family members.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Curtin, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections