Climate Risk Profile: Crace, ACT
Crace faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.
Is Crace Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Crace
Flood
Crace faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Development planning considers stormwater management, but localized flooding is still possible.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Crace has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to grassland and bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk. Residents should maintain firebreaks and be prepared for evacuation.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Crace experiences increasingly hot summers, with potential for heatwaves. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses, are particularly at risk. Urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Crace is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Crace
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Crace experiences increasingly hot summers, with potential for heatwaves. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses, are particularly at risk. Urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Crace faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Development planning considers stormwater management, but localized flooding is still possible.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Crace has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to grassland and bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk. Residents should maintain firebreaks and be prepared for evacuation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Price Impact
Properties in areas more exposed to bushfire or flood risk may experience slower price growth.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Review the property's stormwater management system.
- 5.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Stormwater Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness Programs
ImmediateImplement community education programs on bushfire preparedness, including evacuation planning and property maintenance.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUrban Greening Initiatives
Long-termIncrease tree canopy cover and green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Early Warning System
Near-termDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Crace's Climate Risk Profile
Crace, located in the northern suburbs of Canberra, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall, bushfires due to surrounding grasslands and bushland, and heatwaves during the summer months.
Flooding risk is driven by increased rainfall intensity and potential overflow from nearby waterways. While urban planning incorporates stormwater management, localized flooding remains a concern. Bushfire risk is heightened by dry vegetation, high temperatures, and strong winds, particularly during the fire season. Residents are advised to maintain firebreaks and have evacuation plans in place.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. It is important to stay hydrated, seek cooler environments, and check on elderly or ill neighbors during heatwaves.
While Crace is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, can indirectly affect the suburb. Residents should stay informed about climate projections and adaptation strategies to build resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Crace?
The main climate change risks in Crace are increased heatwaves, bushfire risk, and flash flooding due to more intense rainfall events.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in Crace?
You can prepare your home by maintaining firebreaks, clearing gutters of dry leaves, and having a bushfire survival plan in place.
What should I do during a heatwave in Crace?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek cooler environments, and check on elderly or ill neighbors. Consider visiting air-conditioned public spaces.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Crace?
You can find information about flood risks on the ACT Government's Environment and Planning website, including flood maps and guidance on flood preparedness.
Is Crace considered a bushfire-prone area?
Yes, Crace is considered a bushfire-prone area due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland reserves. Residents should be aware of the risks and take appropriate precautions.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections