Climate Risk Profile: Chifley, ACT

Chifley, Australian Capital Territory· 2606
Updated Mar 2026

Chifley is a suburb in the ACT that faces moderate risks from climate change, particularly related to bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. While coastal risks are negligible, the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events pose a growing challenge.

Is Chifley Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Chifley, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Chifley

Flood

Chifley has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas are more susceptible due to lower elevation and proximity to drainage lines.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Chifley faces a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is exacerbated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Chifley experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly, are particularly at risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Chifley is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Chifley

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Chifley experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly, are particularly at risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Climate change
Data source

flood Risk

Chifley has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. Some areas are more susceptible due to lower elevation and proximity to drainage lines.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Chifley is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Chifley faces a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is exacerbated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to rising climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades for cooling.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, create a bushfire survival plan, and ensure adequate insurance coverage.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Resilience

Near-term

Install energy-efficient cooling systems, improve home insulation, and establish community cooling centers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Stormwater Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage systems and stormwater management to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water-saving measures in homes and gardens to reduce water stress during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Chifley's Climate Risk Profile

Chifley, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for residents include the rising risk of bushfires due to hotter and drier conditions, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and an increased likelihood of flooding from extreme rainfall events.

The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the bushfire risk, especially during the summer months when dry vegetation and strong winds create ideal conditions for fire spread. Residents need to be prepared and maintain their properties to reduce potential fuel loads.

Heatwaves are becoming more common and severe, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. Access to cooling and adequate hydration are crucial during these events.

While Chifley is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the increasing intensity of rainfall events can lead to localised flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and near drainage lines. Proper stormwater management and infrastructure maintenance are essential to mitigate these risks.

Addressing these climate-related challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including individual preparedness, community resilience initiatives, and government policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Chifley?

The main climate change risks in Chifley include increased bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher likelihood of flooding from extreme rainfall events.

How can I prepare my home for bushfires in Chifley?

You can prepare your home for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, creating a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring adequate insurance coverage.

What can I do to stay safe during a heatwave in Chifley?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in a cool environment, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Chifley?

You can find information about flood risks in Chifley on the ACT Government's Environment and Planning Directorate website.

Is climate change affecting property values in Chifley?

Climate change may affect property values in Chifley, particularly in areas that are more vulnerable to bushfires, flooding, or heatwaves. Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Chifley, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections