Climate Risk Profile: Casey, ACT

Casey, Australian Capital Territory· 2913
Updated Mar 2026

Casey, ACT, faces moderate risks from bushfires and heatwaves, with some flood risk. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Casey Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Casey, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Casey

Flood

Casey faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Heavy rainfall
  • ·Stormwater runoff

Bushfire

Casey has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk during the bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry conditions

Heat

Casey experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Casey is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Casey

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Casey experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Casey faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Heavy rainfall
  • ·Stormwater runoff
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Casey is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Casey has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk during the bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry conditions
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers are likely to increase premiums in areas with higher bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth or decreased value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and premiums.
  • 4.Develop an emergency plan.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and ensure adequate insurance coverage.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Stormwater Drainage

Near-term

Invest in upgrades to stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Casey's Climate Risk Profile

Casey is a suburb in the Australian Capital Territory that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The suburb's location near bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with average temperatures expected to rise in the coming decades. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban environment can also amplify the effects of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.

Flooding is a less significant but still present risk, primarily from heavy rainfall events that can overwhelm stormwater drainage systems. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially increasing flood risk in the future.

Residents and property owners in Casey should take steps to prepare for these risks, including maintaining their properties to reduce bushfire hazards, developing emergency plans, and staying informed about weather warnings. The local government is also working to address climate risks through infrastructure improvements and community education programs.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Casey?

The main climate change risks in Casey are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Casey?

You can find information about flood risks in Casey on the ACT Government Environment and Planning website.

Is Casey a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

While Casey faces climate risks, taking proactive adaptation measures can help mitigate these risks. Consider the long-term climate projections and property-specific vulnerabilities when making investment decisions.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Casey, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Casey's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections