Climate Risk Profile: Bonner, ACT

bonner, Australian Capital Territory· 2914
Updated Mar 2026

Bonner is a suburb in the ACT that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Is bonner Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for bonner, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for bonner

Flood

Bonner faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bonner has a notable risk of bushfire due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Fuel load

Heat

Bonner is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effects can further amplify these risks.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urbanisation

Coastal

Bonner is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for bonner

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Bonner is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effects can further amplify these risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urbanisation
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Bonner faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Aging infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Bonner is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Bonner has a notable risk of bushfire due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Fuel load
  • ·Urban sprawl
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan if necessary.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Immediate

Conduct regular fuel reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Energy Efficiency

Long-term

Encourage the use of energy-efficient appliances and building materials to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop a Community Heatwave Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About bonner's Climate Risk Profile

Bonner, located in the Gungahlin district of the Australian Capital Territory, is a relatively new suburb that has seen rapid development in recent years. While it offers modern amenities and a family-friendly environment, Bonner is also exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify with climate change.

Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's topography and drainage infrastructure. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation of low-lying areas. Bushfire risk is also significant, given Bonner's proximity to grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create conditions conducive to bushfires, posing a threat to homes and properties.

Heatwaves are another growing concern, with average temperatures expected to rise in the coming decades. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk during extreme heat events. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks, making it essential to implement strategies to mitigate heat exposure.

While Bonner is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could indirectly affect the suburb. Proactive adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management strategies, and promoting energy efficiency, are crucial to building resilience and ensuring the long-term sustainability of Bonner.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Bonner?

Bonner faces increasing risks from heatwaves, bushfires, and flooding due to climate change. These risks are projected to intensify in the coming decades.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in Bonner?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and develop a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

What should I do during a heatwave in Bonner?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Bonner?

The ACT government provides flood maps and information on its website. You can also contact the local council for assistance.

What is the ACT government doing to address climate change?

The ACT government has a comprehensive climate change strategy that includes targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in bonner, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Bonner, ACT | ClimateNest